Conducting future-focused studies and initiatives.
Tracking and evaluating major scientific, technological, social, demographic, and environmental forces that drive change.
Exploring how trends might crosscut in significant ways.
Cataloging potential ‘wildcards’ – low probability high impact events.
Helping leadership translate information – from data to scenarios – into mental maps by which to guide decision making and build sophisticated organizational visions.
A TIME OF IMMENSE OPPORTUNITY:We are attempting to produce a historic breakthrough in the ability to anticipate and understand the future by building a world-class combination of extraordinary analytical technology, a core group of very creative analysts, and an internationally distributed network of thinkers and resource people. This is a radical new model for a “think tank” that focuses upon the fact that TAI as an information/idea enterprise that exists in an era of unprecedented advances in information technology. This revolution is eliminating the historic constraints of geography and location and makes it possible, for the first time in history, perhaps, to predict the social behavior of large groups of people to certain types of events.
WILD CARDS AND TRENDS:The unprecedented change that we are seeing in almost every area of reality presents the significant likelihood that, in the coming few years, the world will experience one or more low probability, very high impact events – Wild Cards – of a scope and magnitude for which we have neither the experience nor the tools to respond effectively. TAI tracks the early indicators that might lead us to anticipate the arrival of selected Wild Cards. We are also developing computer-based tools that would provide new insights into the behavior of these events.